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Er zijn twee hoofdtypen klimaatrisico's die organisaties moeten overwegen: fysieke risico's en transitierisico's. Elk type omvat verschillende risico's die een aanzienlijke impact kunnen hebben op activiteiten, financiële prestaties en algehele veerkracht, waaronder:
Acute en chronische fysieke risico's (bijv. extreme weersomstandigheden, natuurrampen, zeespiegelstijging en temperatuurstijgingen)
Beleids- en juridische risico's
Technologische risico's
Marktrisico's
Reputatierisico's
Om deze risico's effectief te beheren en te beperken, moeten organisaties:
Een klimaatrisicoanalyse uitvoeren
Toekomstscenario's ontwikkelen om potentiële impacts op activiteiten te modelleren
Mitigatie- en aanpassingsstrategieën ontwikkelen
Regelgevingswijzigingen en nieuwe technologieën monitoren
Het in kaart brengen van klimaatrisico's in de waardeketen is een belangrijke stap in de voorbereiding op naleving van de Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD) om verschillende redenen:
Het helpt te voldoen aan sectie E1 van de European Sustainability Reporting Standards (ESRS), die vereist dat bedrijven materiële klimaatrisico's en -kansen identificeren en bekendmaken via het dubbele materialiteitsbeoordelingsproces.
De CSRD vereist dat klimaatgerelateerde risico's en kansen worden beoordeeld met behulp van scenarioanalyse, inclusief zowel koolstofarme transitiescenario's (bijv. 1,5°C opwarming) als scenario's met hoge fysieke impact (bijv. 4°C opwarming). Het in kaart brengen van risico's in verschillende scenario's helpt aan deze vereiste te voldoen.
De CSRD vereist ook informatie over mitigatie- en aanpassingsstrategieën, transitieplanning, en governance- en risicobeheersmechanismen. Deze moeten allemaal onderdeel zijn van een klimaatrisicoanalyse.
A comprehensive environmental risk assessment evaluates physical and transition climate risks across your entire value chain, including potential economic effects of climate change. It informs strategic decision-making and helps manage risks while identifying adaptation opportunities. For tailored guidance, our climate risk consulting experts can assist with in-depth assessments and scenario analysis.
Public and private companies, including subsidiaries, with over $500 million in annual global revenue and significant business activities in California must submit climate risk disclosures starting 2026. Non-compliance risks fines up to $50,000 per year and potential legal action.
Both physical risks (such as flooding, heatwaves, drought, storms, sea level rise) and transition risks (carbon pricing, market shifts, new regulation, technology changes) are evaluated. Risks are acute (sudden events) or chronic (long-term trends) and considered at asset, operational, and supply chain levels.
Assessments leverage recognized scenarios such as the IPCC’s SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 for physical risks, and International Energy Agency (IEA) models like NZE 2050 or STEPS for transition risks. Analyses cover short (2030), medium (2040), and long-term (2050+) horizons.
Risks are scored using a semi-quantitative matrix combining likelihood (rare to almost certain) and impact magnitude (negligible to critical). Heatmaps visualise these to prioritise focus areas. Financial impacts like revenue loss and operational cost increases are qualitatively or quantitatively assessed.
Climate risk management integrates mitigation, adaptation, and risk financing strategies to minimise adverse impacts from climate-related hazards and transition challenges. This holistic approach helps safeguard operations and optimises opportunities in a changing regulatory landscape. Our team provides bespoke climate risk management advice designed to fit your organisation’s unique profile and reporting needs.
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